The Fall Market Has Arrived

Overall, the Toronto area market continues to follow the trend established early this year, a trend very similar to what we saw for more than 15 consecutive years before last years ‘bubble and burst’: slower in December/January and July/August, and strong from February through June and from September through November. Right on cue, September average… Read More

Toronto Real Estate Market Following A Smooth Trend

After the tumultuous up-and-down price action that we saw in 2017, the return to a normal seasonal pattern in 2018 has been very welcome. Prices and sales spiked upward in extreme fashion in early 2017 and then, after the Ontario government issued its 16-point ‘Fair Housing Plan’ in April, the bubble deflated rapidly through the… Read More

The Dog Days Of Summer Are Upon Us

The summer heat wave in Toronto has brought with it the typical slowdown in the real estate market. Prices and sales in July were lower than in June (as they are every year), though higher than last June. This probably sounds very confusing; the chart below should help to clarify what is going on. As… Read More

Toronto Market Remains Strong in June

For the first time this year, both sales and selling prices in the GTA were higher than the same month in 2017, ending six months of ‘lower than¬† last year’ comparisons. This is because the market has been steadily improving throughout this year, while the market fell steeply from May, 2017 onward, after the Ontario… Read More

Toronto Market Continues to Normalize

For the third month in a row, average selling prices have increased in the Greater Toronto area. While prices are still significantly lower than this time last year, they are very much in line with the historical trend that existed before the aberrational late 2016/early 2017 bubble came and went.   For example, year-to-date average… Read More

Leaner Toronto Market Remains Strong

Media reports continue to focus on how this year’s market conditions compare to the same time last year, and therefore continue to misconstrue what is really going on. Last month total sales (number of homes sold) were 40% lower than the same month last year, and the average selling price was 14% lower. Year-to-date results… Read More

Toronto Market Reheating

Recent media reports have seized upon the February data for prices and sales to suggest that the Toronto market may be in decline. Indeed, prices and sales in February were both lower than the same time last year, however, I would contend that this conclusion is an extreme example of recency bias. What do I… Read More

Toronto Market: Steady As She Goes

Following multiple disturbances overt the past year, including the ‘Fair Housing Plan’; tighter mortgage lending rules; and recent mortgage rate increases, the Toronto market has remained remarkably steady since last summer. Following the inflation and deflation of a price bubble through late 2016 and early 2017, prices have evened out and appear to be returning… Read More

Toronto Market Remains Steady

Well, that was quite a roller-coaster ride we’ve been on for the past 24 months! For many years, going back to the early 2000’s, Toronto area prices increased at a steady pace, averaging around 6% per year and always under 10% per year. Then, beginning in early 2016, prices began moving up much more quickly…. Read More

Buying Frenzy Ahead Of New Mortgage Rules

The divergent pattern between freehold and condominium properties that began in the spring has persisted since then and seems likely to continue into next year. Accordingly, I will continue to report price trends separately for these two categories, as they tell two completely different stories about the market. The freehold market (mainly detached homes) underwent… Read More